Home » If Trump Folds to Neocons on Ukraine, MAGA Base Could Bury Him as Biden 2.0

If Trump Folds to Neocons on Ukraine, MAGA Base Could Bury Him as Biden 2.0

by Marko Florentino
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why is trump flipping on russia ukraine conflict, have neocons flipped trump, have neocons compromised trump

why is trump flipping on russia ukraine conflict, have neocons flipped trump, have neocons compromised trump

President Trump has pulled a 180 on his Russia/Ukraine peace push, including an «aggressive» new arms aid plan, and 100% «secondary tariff» threats against Moscow. Sputnik asked a leading Russian foreign and defense policy expert to weigh in.

The US president’s escalatory rhetoric vis-à-vis Russia is the result of the realization that he cannot “force” Russia to make the concessions he needs to declare a peace in Ukraine which doesn’t address the conflict’s root causes, Russian Council on Foreign & Defense Policy Dmitry Suslov has told Sputnik.

Succumbing to the “hypocritical flattery” of the neocon wing of the GOP, plus hawkish European allies, Trump is being lobbied to believe that acting “tough” works. At the same time, his intuition is telling him to try to avoid being dragged into a long confrontation with Russia, and thus “become a second Biden.”

The president’s problem is that he’s trying to “maneuver” between neocons and MAGA Republicans who don’t want any more wars on US taxpayers’ dime. “Trump wants to somehow demonstrate toughness to put pressure on Russia, but doesn’t want to ‘privatize’ the Ukraine war,” Suslov argues.

Airmen with the 436th Aerial Port Squadron use a forklift to move 155 mm shells ultimately bound for Ukraine, Friday, April 29, 2022, at Dover Air Force Base, Del. - Sputnik International, 1920, 14.07.2025

Trump Set to Unveil New Arms Package for Ukraine

If he uses the leftover $4B from Biden’s budget for Ukraine, he can continue to make the argument that this is ‘not his war’.

But “if he asks Congress for a new budget to support Ukraine, it will mean that Biden’s war has turned into Trump’s war,” Suslov stresses.

“This would be a political disaster, a political defeat for Trump, because he would antagonize his MAGA base even further,” the observer noted. “Trump would effectively become a second Biden, thus committing political suicide.”

President Donald Trump points to a reporter as he answers questions during a news conference on Feb. 13, 2025, in Washington. - Sputnik International, 1920, 14.07.2025

Trump Threatens ‘100% Secondary Tariffs’ on Russia If No Ukraine Deal Reached in 50 Days

As for arms deliveries vs. dialog, everything comes down to the “risks of escalation,” according to Suslov. If Trump approves the use of ATACMS missiles for deep strikes into Russia, this would increase the risks of a direct Russia-NATO clash.

If his efforts are limited to freezing the rapprochement and new sanctions, the impact wouldn’t be nearly as serious, the analyst argues.

Whatever comes next, Russia will “continue its special military operation, and continue to intensify offensive operations and strikes against military and MIC targets in Ukraine, regardless of what the US does or does not do,” Suslov summed up.

Russia's Lavrov and US' Rubio Hold Phone Talks - Sputnik International, 1920, 11.07.2025

FM Lavrov Says Russia’s Position on Ukraine Settlement Confirmed at Meeting With Rubio





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