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Too Late to Restore US Trade Dominance?

by Marko Florentino
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will trump’s tariffs work, why are trump’s tariffs risky, will trump’s tariffs background, who will make a deal with trump to avoid tariffs

will trump’s tariffs work, why are trump’s tariffs risky, will trump’s tariffs background, who will make a deal with trump to avoid tariffs

China raised duties on US imports to 84% on Wednesday, effective almost immediately, in the wake of Trump’s 104% levy. Veteran European economists Daniel Lacalle and Fabio Massimo Parenti break down the risks inherent in Washington’s strong-arm strategy.

“Trade wars are always negative, and no one wins,” Lacalle, chief economist at Spain’s Tressis Gestion financial services company, told Sputnik. “From 100% tariffs onward, the impact is enormous and impossible to assume.»

US exports account for less than 12% of the country’s GDP, but industries inevitably facing severe blowback will include agriculture (grains and oilseeds), machinery and pharmaceuticals, Lacalle predicts.

Attack on Allies or Sly Pressure Strategy?

“There is [no] distinction between ‘allies’ and ‘competitors/rivals’” in Trump’s tariff approach, says Parenti, an associate professor of political economy at China Foreign Affairs University, and Italy’s Lorenzo Medici Institute.

Trump’s short-term goal is “to force everyone to negotiate,” Parenti explained. In the EU’s case, this includes demands that the bloc ramp up US energy imports to $350B a year.
Same goes for Asian allies like South Korea, where the US wants access to and cooperation in shipbuilding, the automotive sector, and energy sales.
In this June 29, 2019, file photo, President Donald Trump, left, meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a meeting on the sidelines of the G-20 summit in Osaka, Japan. - Sputnik International, 1920, 09.04.2025

Trump Says 104% Tariffs on China to Be in Effect Until They Make Deal

Great Trade Wall of China

In China’s case, Trump can’t simply bully Beijing into negotiations, Parenti emphasized. “China will only accept dialog and negotiation after Trump lifts this enormous pressure with tariffs now of 104%.”

Tariffs Too Late to Reverse Tectonic Trends?

“[Trump’s] strategy will have more negative repercussions for the US than the rest of the world,” the academic said. “The world’s economic geography has already changed in favor of the non-Western world,” with tariffs only demonstrating US “weakness,” he summed up.

Containers are pictured on board of the 'Star' vessel of the China Shipping Container Lines shipping company at the harbour in Hamburg, Germany. - Sputnik International, 1920, 09.04.2025

Could China’s Strategic Pivot to Global South Spell Trouble for US?





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