The feud between historian Allan Lichtman and prognosticator Nate Silver is heating up on social media as Election Day approaches.
Lichtman, an American University professor who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, earlier this month forecasted that the Kamala Harris-Tim Walz ticket would win the White House.
Since then, Silver, a political pollster and founder of FiveThirtyEight, released data showing vice president Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump in the national polling average by nearly three points – 48.9% to 46% – but Trump and vice presidential candidate JD Vance have a 56.2% chance of winning the Electoral College compared to Harris-Walz (43.5%).
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On Friday, Silver questioned Lichtman’s abilities to read his own 13 keys used to make presidential election calls. «At least 7 of the keys, maybe 8, clearly favor Trump. Sorry brother, but that’s what the keys say. Unless you’re admitting they’re totally arbitrary?» Silver posted on X, the social media site previously known as Twitter.
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